Washington's pitch on the Inflation Reduction Act's clean-energy tax credits was equity: municipal utilities and rural co-ops, which pay no federal income tax and historically couldn't use tax credits at all, would finally get "elective pay" — a direct Treasury refund equal to the credit. Investor-owned utilities (IOUs), meanwhile, got "transferability" under IRC Section 6418, letting them sell excess credits for cash to any taxpayer with a bill to offset.

On paper, both paths reach the same destination. In practice, they don't. Direct pay for public entities comes with a slower reimbursement cycle (essentially an annual tax-return-timed refund, not project-financing-speed cash), new Foreign Entity of Concern content restrictions phased in for construction starting in 2026, and no ability to monetize credits before a project is placed in service. IOUs with real tax liability just use the credits directly against taxes owed — instantly, at full value, no buyer needed. IOUs with excess credits sell them into a fast-maturing transfer market (credits now regularly trade near $0.90-$0.96 on the dollar) to banks and corporates hungry for tax offsets. That liquidity, plus decades of relationships with tax-equity desks and utility-scale project financiers, is infrastructure public power and co-ops simply don't have. The result: the same statute that was billed as leveling the field is instead compounding a financing-cost advantage for shareholder-owned utilities building the same wind, solar, storage, and nuclear assets.